What to Know Before Investing in Commodities

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By soivaInvestment
What to Know Before Investing in Commodities
What to Know Before Investing in Commodities

On paper, adding commodities to your portfolio seems like a smart strategic move. The data often shows they perform well when stocks don't, making them a powerful diversifier. But shifting from theory to practice brings a set of real-world hurdles that require careful navigation. Good Investment Management isn't just about what to buy, but how you buy it, and this is especially true for commodities.

Before you dive in, there are a few critical implementation issues to consider that can significantly impact your returns and overall Personal Finance strategy.

First, Let's Talk Taxes and Fund Choices

One of the first things to understand is the tax implication. Since any gains from commodity funds come from interest income and trading futures contracts, they're considered short-term gains. This makes them a much better fit for a tax-deferred or nontaxable account, like a Roth IRA.

Next, you have to hire a fund manager to execute the strategy. For the average person, this means choosing a mutual fund. At the moment, there are two main players available to the public: the Oppenheimer Real Asset Fund, which aims to follow the GSCI, and the PIMCO Commodity Real Return Strategy Fund, which tries to replicate the Dow Jones-AIG Commodities Index.

Not All Indexes Are Created Equal

It’s crucial to understand the difference between these two indexes. The Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) is weighted based on production, which means it’s heavily tilted toward oil and natural gas. While this energy focus provides certain diversification benefits, it's not a broad representation of all commodities.

On the other hand, the Dow Jones-AIG Index is designed for broader diversification. It places limits on how much any single commodity or commodity group can represent. For instance, no group like energy or precious metals can exceed 33% of the index, and an individual commodity is capped at 15%. This structure has historically led to higher returns with less volatility compared to the GSCI between 1991 and 2003. Its negative correlation with both the S&P 500 (–0.21) and long-term Treasury bonds (–0.14) during that period confirms it's a solid diversifier.

A Hard Look at the Available Funds

When you look closer at the funds themselves, the choice becomes clearer.

The Oppenheimer fund has some significant drawbacks. Its Class A shares come with a steep 1.68% expense ratio and a 5.75% load fee. Even the institutional version is a pricey 1.06%. The fund also invests its collateral—the cash backing the futures contracts—in instruments that carry prepayment and credit risk, like mortgage-backed securities. It’s also actively managed, and its performance has lagged its benchmark considerably. From 1998 to 2003, the fund returned just 2.64% annually, while the GSCI Index it follows returned 6.65%.

The PIMCO fund, which launched in late 2002, is more investor-friendly. Its expense ratio is lower at 1.24% (with an institutional version at 0.74%). A major plus is that it invests much of its collateral in inflation-protected securities, which aligns perfectly with using commodities as an inflation hedge. However, it’s not without risks. Like the Oppenheimer fund, it has the discretion to invest in riskier assets like junk bonds and can also take on currency risk.

The Bottom Line for Disciplined Investors

Allocating a portion of your portfolio to commodities has strong intuitive appeal. It offers a hedge against inflation and low correlation to traditional stocks and bonds. But this is not a set-it-and-forget-it asset class. It demands patience and discipline.

Returns can be highly volatile and may remain low for long stretches. For example, the Oppenheimer fund's annual returns from 1998 to 2003 swung wildly: –45%, 37%, 44%, –31%, 27%, and 23%. You also have to be comfortable with "tracking error," which means your portfolio's performance will almost certainly not mirror the equity markets. This is a psychological hurdle that only educated and disciplined investors should take on.

Ultimately, this asset class is a good fit for long-term investors looking to diversify away from the risks of stocks and bonds. While no perfect fund exists, the PIMCO fund is the clear preference for its more sensible approach to Investment Management and alignment with an investor's goals for including commodities in their Personal Finance plan.

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