It feels a little strange to be nearing the end of this month-long project. For the last 25 days, I’ve been thinking out loud, and sharing this process with you has been incredibly insightful. It’s forced me to deconstruct my own trading habits—actions that had become so second nature they were almost subconscious. I was trained to see specific chart setups and simply react.
I’m having a pretty light day, mostly rereading the manuscript for a book that will be in your hands by summer. It’s a surreal feeling, turning these typed words into a hardcover book. With my deadline just five days away, I’m trying to cram in a few last-minute charts and edits.
It’s not even 4:30 A.M., and I’m pretty sure there isn’t enough Earl Grey tea in all of Florida to get me going. But I promised myself I’d be up early, so here I am. As I scan the charts, I can see the USD/CHF is still on my radar, and the Canadian dollar is continuing its slide. My first thought, and my first warning to myself, is simple: don’t revenge trade.
I’m a visual trader, which means my decisions are based on what I see on the charts—not on news headlines or gut feelings. My approach to is built on this principle. After weeks of analyzing charts, I hope this is becoming clear.
With major economic news like Initial Claims and Crude Inventories scheduled for release, I knew the morning would be active. On days like this, you’re essentially working against a deadline, trying to get your positions set before the data drops. My focus immediately went to the USD/CAD pair.
Looking out my hotel window at Times Square, I can see the city is taking a breather this morning. It’s Monday, February 20th, and the usual stream of yellow cabs is just a trickle. The streets below are quiet. With U.S. markets closed for the holiday, the usual financial buzz is on pause, even as the rest of the world keeps trading.
On Fridays, my trading day almost always wraps up by noon. Today, I'm clocking out even earlier for a chiropractic appointment. If I'm in a position when it's time to head out around 10:45 A.M., I'll just let my automatic orders manage it. After that, I’m heading up to Orlando for an internet marketing seminar—a three-hour road trip from my place in South Florida, which I actually enjoy. I just put on an audiobook and go.
This morning started like most: scanning the markets for familiar patterns. I was looking for specific setups, or “Waves,” that signal a potential move after a recent breakout. I quickly flagged three currency pairs that looked promising: the AUD/USD, USD/JPY, and EUR/JPY. For any swing trades, I needed to see a clear trend already in place before I’d even consider looking for an entry.
It was Wednesday morning, and the markets felt like they were holding their breath. It was the day of new Federal Reserve Chairman Benjamin Bernanke’s first testimony before Congress, and everyone was waiting to see what he would say. Coincidentally, it was also the 35th anniversary of the NASDAQ. I used to joke that two things were born in 1971: me and the NASDAQ.